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nuggets of financial self-defence
MishTalk
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
Zaktualizowano: 5 tygodni 4 dni temu

Advertisers’ Dilemma: Figuring Out How to Target Millennials, Now the Largest Demographic

wt., 10/10/2017 - 07:13

Millennials are now the largest age group but retailers and advertisers in general haven’t quite figured out how to reach them.

Millennials are not as interested in drills, machine shop workbenches, gardening, and any number of do-it-yourself items as their boomer parents.

Why should they be? Home ownership is far lower and their boomer parents did not have mountains of student debt. So what’s an advertiser to do?
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Volatility Nowhere in Sight: VIX Posts Record Low Quarter

pon., 09/10/2017 - 22:00

Is this the calm before the storm or has the Fed managed to crush volatility forever?
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

May Finally Decides to Play Hardball: Tells EU “Ball is in Their Court, No More Concessions”

pon., 09/10/2017 - 16:35

UK prime minister Theresa May has finally had enough of EU unending intransigence. May went on the offensive by telling EU leaders The Ball’s In Your Court.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Escalating Feud: Turkish Lira Slumps Following Tit-for-Tat Visa Restrictions with US

pon., 09/10/2017 - 15:47

Last week, Turkey arrested Metin Topuz, a US consulate employee in Istanbul. Turkey accuses Topuz of having links to Pennsylvania-based opposition cleric Fethullah Gulen.

Following the arrest, the US placed visa restrictions on Turkish citizens seeking to enter the US. When Turkey responded in kind the Turkish Lira Took a 6.6% Dive.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Scientists Claim to Have Proof that Time Travel Exists

pon., 09/10/2017 - 01:52

Not much is happening economically speaking this Sunday evening so let’s ponder the ability to travel back in time such that the future can change the past.

Please consider Physicists send particles of light into the past, prove time travel is possible.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Crystal Ball Territory: Rajoy Ponders Article 155, Taking Over Catalonia

nie., 08/10/2017 - 19:24

Pro-Spain activists took over streets of Barcelona today. Police estimate the crowd at 350,000 but organizers place the total close to a million.

Meanwhile, the Catalan government appears likely to declare independence on Tuesday, and prime minister Mariano Rajoy Mulls Suspending Catalonia Autonomy via article 155.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Brexit Plans in Shambles: Is That a Bad Thing?

nie., 08/10/2017 - 15:18

The Financial Times reports Germany Rejects May’s Brexit Transition Hopes.

Once again, the divorce agreement is at the center stage. Germany and France insist divorce bill from EU will be resolved before tackling trade.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Dear Elon Musk: Regarding “Production Hell”, 260 Cars in 3rd Quarter Isn’t a Bottleneck. It’s incompetence somewhere. Where?

sob., 07/10/2017 - 17:50

Tesla managed to produce a grand total of 260 model 3 sedans in the third quarter. It produced zero big rig trucks. Elon Musk blamed Puerto Rico for Production Hell Delays.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Oil Back Below $50: End of Inflationary Jump?

sob., 07/10/2017 - 15:31

Crude oil is back below $50 and production is up. Hedge funds are reducing positions. Is this the end of an inflationary jump?
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Elon Musk Says He Can Power Puerto With Batteries

pt., 06/10/2017 - 22:00

Tesla founder Elon Musk claims to be able to fix what ails Puerto Rico, with his battery technology. He says his battery solution can scale up.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Third-Quarter GDP Forecasts: GDPNow 2.5%, Nowcast 1.5%

pt., 06/10/2017 - 17:04

The volatility of GDPNow vs Nowcast is once again on display in recent weeks. Whereas Nowcast barely moves week to week, a chart of GDPNow shows significantly more volatility.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Jobs Down 33K, Employment Up 906K, Full-Time Employment Down 65,000

pt., 06/10/2017 - 16:07

Initial Reaction

Today’s establishment survey shows jobs declined by 33,000.

The way the BLS accumulates household survey stats leads to some seemingly-wild mathematical discrepancies.

Supposedly, employment rose by 906,000 (Table A).

Full-time employment (Table A-9) declined by 65,000 but part-time employment rose by only 81,000.

Of the 81,000 increase in part-time workers, those who are employed part-time for economic reasons (Once again Table A) declined by 133,000 and the number of voluntary part-time workers declined by 436,000.

None of this ever adds up, but the BLS says it’s not supposed to. This month was particularly wild.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Futility at its Finest: Spanish Court Blocks Catalan Parliament from Declaring Independence; Civil War?

pt., 06/10/2017 - 08:01

What’s the point in telling someone they cannot do something, you know full well they will?

Prime minister Mariano Rajoy said there would be no Catalonia independence referendum. He lied. Despite sending in 10,000 troops to stop the referendum, there was a vote and it was 90% in favor of kissing Spain goodbye.

On Thursday, the Spanish Court Blocked the Catalan Parliament from Declaring Independence. Wanna bet?
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

20% of Illinois Lawmakers to Quit: They Risk Some Pension Benefits if They Get Booted Instead of Retiring

czw., 05/10/2017 - 20:46

20% of the Illinois House announced will not run for reelection, many of them are cowardly, corrupt Republicans who voted for a tax hike.

It’s a Huge Stampede for the Door the likes of which Illinois has never seen. They do not want to face voters after passing a huge tax hike.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Tariffs on Washing Machines Coming Up: Let’s Tax the Sun and the Rain Too

czw., 05/10/2017 - 17:58

Whirpool bitched to the Trump administration and the International Trade Commission about unfair pricing on Samsung and LG-brand washing machines.

The ITC panel ruled U.S. washing machine makers hurt by South Korean imports, so your price is guaranteed to go up.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Sacred Cows: Can Trump or Anyone in Congress Take Them On?

czw., 05/10/2017 - 08:44

The Obamacare repeal plan of the Republicans withered on the vine.

Will tax reform suffer the same fate?

The answer depends on whether or not  Congress is willing to take on Sacred Cows of the Tax Code.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

World’s Biggest Ever Junk Bond Bubble in Pictures: What Hath Draghi Wrought?

śr., 04/10/2017 - 21:00

In regards to ECB QE bond purchases, inquiring minds may be asking: What hath ECB president Mario Draghi wrought?

I can explain in one picture.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Puerto Rico Bonds Collapse to 36 Cents on Dollar following Trump Comments

śr., 04/10/2017 - 17:52

Puerto Rico general obligation bonds fell to 36 cents on the dollar after Trump told Fox News on Tuesday night that Puerto Rico’s debt will have to be wiped out.

Looking back, bonds prices started the collapse in 2014, well before Trump comments and well before hurricanes.

Puerto Rico borrowed billions of dollars, more than any state in the US except California and New York for energy infrastructure, but the money did not shore up its aging infrastructure.

Where did the money go?
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Albert Edwards “Fed is a Slave to the S&P 500”: Would Kevin Warsh Change That?

śr., 04/10/2017 - 06:37

Society General’s Albert Edwards was at the Bank Credit Analyst annual conference in New York last week.

Also in attendance were Larry Summers, Paul Volcker, and potentially the next Fed Chair, ex Fed-Governor Kevin Warsh.

Edwards’ email comments on Warsh and Summers ring a bell with me.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

Nigel Farage Blasts EU, Juncker Over Catalonia: Spain Violates Article 2 of Lisbon Treaty

śr., 04/10/2017 - 01:33

Nigel Farage made his best speech ever in the European Parliament.

Farage called the Catalonia crackdown a foretaste of EU political suppression.

Watch and enjoy.
(more…)

Kategorie: Najnowsze feedy

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